
Economic indicators such as inflation, employment rates, and GDP are often the main reasons why global inequality has risen so much lately. While stock markets often rally to conquer new all-time highs, many people struggle to make ends meet with ever-shrinking salaries, which do not hold a candle against rising prices. The very tools used for the stabilization of the economy can also make the gap between the rich and the poor even wider. Inequality is rising, and it poses real threats to developed economies worldwide. In this analysis, we will explain how economic indicators affect and shape these divides, focusing on the influence of central bank policies and announcements as a major driver.
Role of central banks in rising inequality
Central bank policies impact inequality directly and indirectly. It shapes the access to credit, influences asset values across markets, and causes major wealth redistribution. While their main goal and mandate are to stabilize prices, employment rates, and financial stability overall, their interventions often alter the balance of economic opportunity. Central bank policies impact all the aforementioned aspects of the economy through the policies that affect the currency. For example, the interest rate decisions directly change inflation. When interest rates are high, currency inflation is lower and vice versa. This creates fewer opportunities in the market, and when the rates are high, borrowing money becomes expensive. When rates are low, loans are cheap, but inflation rises. When inflation rises, stock markets usually boom. What usually happens is that when corporations can borrow money cheaply, they are expected to expand their businesses and generate even more money, so these two are interdependent. The rising inflation, which causes stock market rallies, directly causes the gap between the poor and the rich to rise even more, as higher inflation means more money is required to buy everyday goods. However, these rallies also create many opportunities for investors to capitalize on. Since real estate and stocks are often owned by large investors and institutional players, the benefits are not many for the poor.
Globally, the pattern repeats itself: the Federal Reserve’s QE (quantitative easing) fueled Wall Street’s rally in 2008. The European Central Bank’s (ECB) bond purchases stabilized markets, but wealthier states got more benefits.
Main indicators that expose inequality
Among the key economic indicators that enable us to see the inequality more clearly are asset prices, inflation, employment/unemployment rates, global capital flows, and more. Let’s briefly analyze each of these to define how they are the main reasons inequality has risen lately.
Asset prices
When central banks cut interest rates or deploy Quantitative Easing, stock and real estate markets rally. Asset owners, who are typically the wealthiest segment of society, see their wealth multiply. Wage earners benefit very little from these events. In the United States, after the 2008 crisis, stock indices rallied, but median wages remained largely unchanged, deepening the gap between the rich and the poor even further.
Inflation rates
Inflation is a central bank’s price target, and its effects vary across classes. Wealthier households are usually more shielded from rising prices than poorer households. Lower-income families spend the majority of their income on food, fuel, and housing, making them very sensitive to inflation rates. For emerging economies, spikes in food and energy prices can push a significant number of citizens (often millions) into poverty, even when overall inflation appears under control.
Employment and unemployment
This one is also a very important metric for any economy. Job creation after stimulus tends to cluster in low-wage roles, offering very little long-term security. In emerging economies, informal workers remain invisible in official statistics, and while central banks celebrate lower unemployment, the quality and stability of jobs are often poor.
Global capital flows
The FED’s rate hikes historically strengthen the U.S. dollar and attract global capital. For emerging markets, this often means outflows and currency depreciation, resulting in higher debt service costs. As investors flee, nations like Argentina and Turkey face crises. Developed economies stabilize, but poorer nations often face a worsening gap between their classes, magnifying global inequality.
As we can see, sometimes the interventions by central banks cause the situation not to change for the poor; instead, it might get even worse. While central banks have a pivotal role in stabilizing prices and inflation, their impact is not positive for the poor.